IJAGST International Journal of Agricultural Sciences and Technology 2710-3366 SvedbergOpen ijagst-1-1-001 10.51483/IJAGST.1.1.2021.1-7 Research Paper Ecological niche modeling to assessment oi potential distribution of Neodiprion abietis (Harris, 1841) (Insecta, Hymenoptera, Diprionidae) in Eurasia GrebennikovKonstantin 1 * 1All-Russian Plant Quarantine Centre, Moscow, Russia. E-mail: kgrebennikov@gmail.com *Corresponding author: Konstantin Grebennikov, All-Russian Plant Quarantine Centre, Moscow, Russia. E-mail: kgrebennikov@gmail.com 02 2021 1 1 Abstract

In the article first assesses the potential distribution in Eurasia of Neodiprion abietis (Harris, 1841) first time assessed. The species id a widely distributed in North America fir and spruce defoliator, intercepted in 2016 in the Netherlands. Analysis of the literature data on the known distribution and host plants of the species is given. Insufficient data for ecological modeling is shown, which causes a high degree of uncertainty in assessment of potential range. The results of modeling the potential range of the species using several algorithms are presented. The reliability of the obtained models and the importance of bio-climatic environmental variables for species distribution are assessed.

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